Interpretation: China's garment industry association, standing deputy director Chen guoqiang economic research institute.

From the boom index can see, in prices and weak demand at home and abroad and multiple factors influence, the fourth quarter clothing manufacturing sales income, total profit and tax efficiency index such as compared to the total amount of rapid growth, profitability enhanced; Investment in fixed assets in kept growing rapidly, the enterprise investor confidence has not seen the fall, and the overall operation better than expected. But clothing manufacturing production continue to trend still face is cold, and export growth weakness, inventory continued high, the loss ZengKui enterprise increase of concern.

The overall demand at home and abroad and fatigue, order and growth underpowered and atrophy factors, expect 2012 quarter clothing industry or the boom of a downward pressure.

Although industry boom has downside is expected, but must recognize that after 30 years of development, China apparel industry gets great improve the overall strength, formed the multi-level product structure, internal and external two big market structure and relatively complete industrial chain. This is our analysis of the development of the garment industry base. That is, because the actual ability of industry, decided the clothing industry in 2012 May not falling.

"Demand" and "production" is industry stable two fundamental face. From the two aspects analysis:

The clothing industry is facing the international, domestic two markets. Although few of the independent brand in China international recognition of the "luxury", but we already have a world brand "luxury" OEM and ODM ability. A number of world brand "luxury" is made in China, let alone "cheap" cheap product. The clothing industry has become the high, medium and low adaptable, wide adaptability of product structure, which decided "the world market" in the overall demand for products.

Meanwhile, China is itself a made the world attention the huge market. By the end of 2011 the central economic work conference, and to expand the domestic demand for final consumption in a more prominent place. Consumer displays obvious upgrade trend, the performance has 3: it is the second three city consumer markets to rise; 2 it is high-end consumption market surge; Three is the emergence of new formats is expected to further drive consumption.

Can say, the basic stability of foreign demand and expanding domestic demand decided in 2012, the basic stability of clothing industry trend. Of course, do not exclude the volatility of the market, especially particularly strong seasonal clothing product market.

To satisfy the market "demand" and need to "production" support. In 2008 the international financial crisis, especially in the European and American sovereignty debt crisis since, our country government and enterprises have to recognize the importance of developing economic entity. And the developed countries of the "return to manufacturing", "then industrialization" and emerging countries industry undertaking and promoted to give us a reminder. From the second half of last year, especially the fourth quarter, our country the government insists that entity economy development, for the development of economic entities (including the service for small and medium enterprises) build good environment, and in the industry appear "return to main course trend. This can be 2011 in the fourth quarter clothing industry boom index shows "investment in fixed assets in maintained a fast growth, the enterprise investor confidence has not seen the back" the monitoring results. It also can tell, 2012 clothing industry investment in fixed assets, technical transformation into over last year can have certain increase.

Need to point out is, to the market and the production of the confidence of the key or industrial insist and accelerating the implementation of innovative drive, the transformation and upgrading of strategy. Us to "the return of the industry," is not only the apparel industry technology innovation, also including clothing industry is based on supply chain form of new cluster, clothing industry "service" new patterns of innovation, clothing industry establishment of independent brand globalization environment.